Benfica are flying in this Europa league. They scored 10 goals in 3 games. 4 against Celtic, 4 against Omonija. Especially when playing home games in the Estádio da Luz, they are looking very dangerous when attacking and at least scoring 3 goals in all 4 games of european home games played so far this season.

Lech is quite a weak team from a defensive point of view when it comes to Europe. In the 3 league phase matches they conceded 9 goals. Especially when losing 4-0 to both Crystal Palace and Bayer Leverkusen they looked very bad, and Benfica attackers will likely feast. The situation with Lech is also very unfavorable, they miss a lot of players like Mikael Ishak, Ali Gholizadeh or Alex Douglas.

Benfica on the other hand suffers from injuries as Leandro Barreiro, Enzo Barrenechea are out and Dodi Lukebakio is questionable. But they have Vangelis Pavlidis, who scored in 4 games in a row. So dangerous.

If you look at the available European statistics, we can see that Benfica have 2.17 xG per match while Lech have only 1.05. With the recent form of scoring and the problems on the defensive side of Lech, we should see at least 3 goals.